Thursday, January 30, 2014

Hillary Clinton Will Not Win the Presidential Election of 2016


 


--Richard E. Vatz

     The news is filled with reports of a Washington Post and ABC News poll which shows how far ahead of the thin Democratic Party field Hillary Clinton is in her unannounced quest to gain the presidential nomination.

     Maybe her free-fall plunge against Barack Obama for the 2008 nomination is not indicative, but it matters little.

     Former Secretary Clinton will not win the 2016 presidential election.

     Her current negatives even among Democrats are stunning (35%), and among Republicans, I speculate, are prohibitive.

     No one with such negatives wins the presidential race, unless his or her opponent has similar negatives; always look at negatives.  Even Richard Nixon was not viewed so negatively when he ran for president, and George McGovern was.

     I think she may gain the Democratic nomination; her chances for the presidency, hard as it may be to believe, however, are negligible.

    Who could disagree with this analysis?  To dissenters, I say in the immortal irresponsible words of one high-level politician: “What difference at this point does it make? It is our job to figure out what [has] happened and do everything we can to prevent it from ever happening again.


Professor Vatz teaches political rhetoric at Towson University and is author of The Only Authentic Book of Persuasion (Kendall Hunt, 2013)

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